ROI at different total-pool-dilution scenarios
Same stake and reward pool, different guesses for how big the total pool grows by the end. This is the single biggest swing factor in real Launchpool returns — your row is highlighted.
| Pool end size | Your share | Tokens earned | Annualized APR |
|---|
Your ROI depends on everyone else, not just you
Launchpool doesn't pay a fixed rate — it pays your literal fraction of a fixed daily token budget, resnapshotted every hour against however much BNB (or FDUSD) the whole pool has staked at that moment. That single mechanic explains almost everything people get wrong about "Launchpool APR": the number quoted on day one, when the pool is still small, is almost never the number you actually average over the full period, because pools reliably grow fast in their first hours as a listing goes viral and then plateau. Stake early into a pool that later triples in size and your realized APR ends up a fraction of the headline figure; stake into a pool that's already mature and stable and the number you see is close to what you'll actually get. Binance also lets BNB sitting in the BNB Vault or locked products count toward your Launchpool snapshot simultaneously, so the base BNB yield in this calculator isn't a trade-off against Launchpool participation — it's additive. For the airdrop-side version of this same "farm now, price discovers later" bet, see the airdrop value calculator; for comparing this against straight liquidity-pool farming, use the yield farming calculator.
The math
Rewards accrue hourly: for a given hour, rewardh = (your stake ⁄ total pool stakeh) × (daily token allocation ⁄ 24). Summed across a full day this collapses to your stake ⁄ total pool stakeavg of that day's allocation, and across the whole D-day period to the same share of the total reward tokens R for the period — provided your stake and the pool's total stay roughly constant. Since the total pool realistically grows from an early size to a larger one as the listing matures, this calculator approximates your effective share using the average of the starting and ending total pool size: share ≈ your stake ⁄ ((poolnow + poolend) ⁄ 2), then tokens earned = share × R.
Reward value in dollars is tokens earned × token price. Because BNB staked in Launchpool can simultaneously sit in the BNB Vault, add the base yield it earns over the same window: vault value = stake × BNB price × vault APR × (D ⁄ 365). Total value = reward value + vault value, period ROI% = total value ⁄ (stake × BNB price) × 100, and the annualized APR = period ROI% × (365 ⁄ D) so it's comparable to other yield quotes. This ignores two real-world variables it can't know in advance — where the reward token actually trades once liquid, and the exact hour-by-hour shape of pool growth rather than a straight-line average — so treat the output as a planning estimate, not a guarantee, and re-run it as the total pool size becomes clearer.