ROI at different total-pool-dilution scenarios
Same stake and reward pool, different guesses for how big the total pool grows by the end. This is the single biggest swing factor in real Launchpool returns — your row is highlighted.
| Pool end size | Your share | Tokens earned | Annualized APR |
|---|
Your ROI depends on everyone else, not just you
Launchpool doesn't pay a fixed rate — it pays your literal fraction of a fixed daily token budget, resnapshotted every hour against however much BNB (or FDUSD) the whole pool has staked at that moment. That single mechanic explains almost everything people get wrong about "Launchpool APR": the number quoted on day one, when the pool is still small, is almost never the number you actually average over the full period, because pools reliably grow fast in their first hours as a listing goes viral and then plateau. Stake early into a pool that later triples in size and your realized APR ends up a fraction of the headline figure; stake into a pool that's already mature and stable and the number you see is close to what you'll actually get. Binance also lets BNB sitting in the BNB Vault or locked products count toward your Launchpool snapshot simultaneously, so the base BNB yield in this calculator isn't a trade-off against Launchpool participation — it's additive. For the airdrop-side version of this same "farm now, price discovers later" bet, see the airdrop value calculator; for comparing this against straight liquidity-pool farming, use the yield farming calculator.
The math
Rewards accrue hourly: for a given hour, rewardh = (your stake ⁄ total pool stakeh) × (daily token allocation ⁄ 24). Summed across a full day this collapses to your stake ⁄ total pool stakeavg of that day's allocation, and across the whole D-day period to the same share of the total reward tokens R for the period — provided your stake and the pool's total stay roughly constant. Since the total pool realistically grows from an early size to a larger one as the listing matures, this calculator approximates your effective share using the average of the starting and ending total pool size: share ≈ your stake ⁄ ((poolnow + poolend) ⁄ 2), then tokens earned = share × R.
Reward value in dollars is tokens earned × token price. Because BNB staked in Launchpool can simultaneously sit in the BNB Vault, add the base yield it earns over the same window: vault value = stake × BNB price × vault APR × (D ⁄ 365). Total value = reward value + vault value, period ROI% = total value ⁄ (stake × BNB price) × 100, and the annualized APR = period ROI% × (365 ⁄ D) so it's comparable to other yield quotes. This ignores two real-world variables it can't know in advance — where the reward token actually trades once liquid, and the exact hour-by-hour shape of pool growth rather than a straight-line average — so treat the output as a planning estimate, not a guarantee, and re-run it as the total pool size becomes clearer.
FAQ
How does Binance calculate Launchpool rewards? Launchpool rewards accrue hourly, not once at the end. Every hour, Binance takes a snapshot of your staked balance and the pool's total staked balance, and pays out: your reward for that hour = (your stake ÷ total pool stake) × (that day's token allocation ÷ 24). Because the split is against the total pool at that exact hour, your effective share — and therefore your annualized return — falls as more people pile into the pool, and rises if you stake early before the pool fills up. Multiple snapshots per hour (added in 2023) prevent gaming the system with rapid deposit/withdraw cycles, so what matters is your average hourly balance relative to everyone else's, not any single snapshot.
Why does my Launchpool APR keep dropping after I stake? The token reward pool for each day is usually fixed in advance, but the total staked BNB or FDUSD in the pool is not — it typically grows fast in the first hours of a hot listing as more users notice and pile in, then plateaus. Since your hourly reward is your stake divided by the total pool at that hour, a bigger total pool means a smaller slice of the same fixed daily allocation for everyone already in, which is exactly why headline APRs quoted on day one are almost always higher than what latecomers actually realize by the time the pool matures.
Do I lose my normal BNB yield while it's staked in Launchpool? No — Binance extended Launchpool eligibility to BNB already sitting in the BNB Vault / locked products, meaning the same BNB balance can simultaneously earn its regular BNB Vault APR and count toward your Launchpool hourly snapshot share. That is why this calculator stacks a base BNB yield on top of the new-token reward rather than treating the stake as pulled out of yield entirely — the two are not mutually exclusive positions.
Is Launchpool ROI guaranteed or does it float? It floats continuously on two fronts: the total pool size (which changes your share every hour) and the reward token's market price once it's tradable, which is usually unknown or volatile at the moment you stake. This calculator lets you separate the two — enter your best-guess total pool size range to see how dilution alone moves your token count, then apply whatever token price assumption you want to see the resulting dollar ROI and annualized APR, so you can stress-test both variables independently.