IV rank

Where premium sits, and what it implies

Rank, variance risk premium and the expected move at a glance.

Expected move & rank across the IV range

Holding your price and horizon fixed, this steps implied volatility from its low to its high to show the rank and the one-sigma dollar move at each level — your current IV is marked.

IV (%)IV rank1σ move ($)1σ range

The number that turns volatility into a decision

Every options tool on this site prices a structure once you have decided to trade it — the greeks calculator shows how it will move, the vertical spread calculator and the iron condor calculator show what you win and lose. None of them answer the question that comes first: is the premium worth selling or buying at all? That is what IV rank is for. It takes the implied volatility you are being quoted and asks where it sits in its own recent history — cheap, mid, or expensive — because the same 55% can be a gift to sellers or a trap depending on where the asset has been. The variance risk premium sharpens it by comparing that implied number to what the asset is actually delivering: premium is only genuinely rich when the market is charging more than the moves justify, and a high rank in a market that has started moving even harder is exactly the setup that bleeds naive sellers. The expected move then turns the volatility into strikes you can place — the one- and two-sigma dollar ranges the market is implying over your horizon. Read together, they tell you whether to be a seller or a buyer before you open a single leg. To feed this tool, extract the implied number from an option price with the implied volatility calculator and measure recent realized movement with the historical volatility calculator.

The math

Write current implied volatility as IV and its lookback low and high as IVlow and IVhigh. The IV rank is (IV − IVlow) ÷ (IVhigh − IVlow) × 100 — the percentage of the way current volatility sits between its cheapest and most expensive readings. A rank near 100 means premium is near its yearly high; near 0 means near its low.

The variance risk premium is IV − RV in volatility points, where RV is realized (historical) volatility, and the ratio IV ÷ RV shows how many times over the market is charging versus what the asset delivers. A positive premium — implied above realized — is the structural edge option sellers harvest; when it turns negative, buyers get the better deal.

The expected move converts annual volatility to your horizon: the one-standard-deviation dollar move is σ$ = S · (IV ÷ 100) · √(days ÷ 365), where S is the underlying price. The one-sigma range is S ± σ$ (about a 68% chance of finishing inside it) and the two-sigma range is S ± 2σ$ (about 95%). These assume roughly normal, driftless returns, so real crypto tails run a little wider than the bands suggest — treat them as the market's own forecast, not a promise.

Share: 𝕏 Post Reddit
Trade on:BybitBinanceOKXKuCoin|📈 TradingView🔒 NordVPN
Implied VolRealized VolGreeksVertical Spread