Set targets that include the toll
A '30% target' that ignores fees leaves you short. Bake the round-trip fee into the price you're aiming for. Check the fee load on the futures fees calculator.
Sanity-checking a price target
Every price target implies a market cap. That's the check most people skip. A $5 target on a coin with 10 billion circulating supply means a $50B valuation — top-15 territory. Possible? Sure. Likely for a mid-cap meme coin? You already know.
Run the math both ways. If your coin is at $0.50 with a 2B supply, that's a $1B cap. A 10× to $5 needs $10B of market cap — roughly the entire valuation of a major L1 flowing into this one asset. When you frame targets as "where does the money come from," most 100× predictions quietly become 3× hopes.
The percentage view matters too: from $0.50 to $5 is +900%, but the round trip back down is only −90%. Gains and losses are asymmetric — this is also why recovering from drawdowns is so much harder than people expect.