Tron Isn't Always the Cheapest Way to Send USDT
Everyone says use Tron for USDT. I checked the live fees this morning and Tron was the most expensive by far — over 1,000x pricier than an L2. Why the cheapest network flips with demand.
At What % Move Does Leverage Liquidate You? (5x to 125x)
One table: at 100x a 0.5% move ends you, at 125x a 0.3% flicker. The formula, why the small numbers aren't generous either, and how I pick leverage backwards now.
BILL Won 96% of Its Trades. 72% of Them Were Underwater First
Out of 386 coins I backtested, only four cleared the bar — and BILL looked like the safe one (96.7% win rate, a 5% drawdown). Then I read the DCA column: 72% of its wins were rescued by averaging down.
What Actually Worked: The Boring Strategy That Survived Every Crash I Tested
After scalping, DCA and leverage all failed, one dull rule kept winning: hold above the 200-day average, cash below it. Walk-forward Sharpe 1.35–1.42 and ~4× less bear drawdown.
I Stopped Scalping and Held for Weeks Instead. The Data
Six years of BTC/ETH/SOL: holding the trend for weeks beat both scalping and buy-and-hold, with about half the drawdown. The boring opposite of scalping wins.
More Leverage Doesn't Mean More Money (18-Year Data)
The same strategy at 5x lost money over 18 years while 1x compounded. Volatility drag, explained with real numbers — and why the leverage slider is mostly a self-destruct button.
I Backtested Crypto Scalping 5,000+ Ways. Here's the Truth
A high win rate doesn't mean profit. After thousands of configs over two years, fees — not the market — decided the result. What survived, and what didn't.
Why Dollar-Cost Averaging Looks Better Than It Is
A lower average price is not profit — it's a lower break-even. The realized-vs-unrealized illusion, with real numbers from our paper run.
I Found a Coin With a 96% Win Rate. Here's Why I Won't Touch It
A real GPU backtest gave one altcoin a 96% win rate and a 3.3 profit factor. Then I looked at how it actually won — 65% DCA rescues and a −14% drawdown — and closed the tab.
I Ran 85 Million Trading Backtests on a Gaming GPU. Almost All Were Noise
386 coins, 220,000 configs each, one RTX 3070, five hours. What 85 million simulated strategies really taught me about overfitting and fees.
A 33% Win Rate and a 96% Win Rate From the Same Search
One setup won 33% of trades, another 97% — and the profit factors told the opposite story. Why win rate is the most misleading number in trading.