About this tool
This tool offers a view of where the crypto market may sit within its broader boom-and-bust cycle. It helps users think about the current phase in context rather than reacting only to the latest daily price move.
It combines longer-term price behavior and related market measures to suggest whether conditions resemble earlier, middle, or late stages of a cycle. Cycle framing is descriptive and probabilistic, so it points to conditions that have historically occurred at certain phases rather than pinpointing a top or bottom.
Frequently asked questions
What is a crypto market cycle?
A market cycle is the recurring pattern of expansion and contraction, where prices rise through a bull phase and fall through a bear phase over months or years. Bitcoin's history has shown repeated cycles, though each one differs in timing and magnitude.
Can an indicator tell me the exact top or bottom?
No tool can reliably identify tops and bottoms in advance, because cycles vary and are only clearly visible in hindsight. A cycle indicator offers context about the likely phase, not a precise timing signal.
Are crypto cycles tied to Bitcoin?
Bitcoin's cycles have historically influenced the wider market, and many altcoins tend to move broadly in step with it. Some people also relate cycles to Bitcoin's halving schedule, though this is an observed pattern rather than a guarantee.