Bitcoin Rainbow Chart

Historical valuation bands based on log regression. Not financial advice — a fun long-term perspective tool.

Fire saleBUY!AccumulateHODLIs it a bubble?FOMOSellMaximum bubble
Current BTC price
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Fire sale
<$20k
BUY!
$20k–$45k
Accumulate
$45k–$80k
HODL
$80k–$130k
Bubble?
$130k–$200k
FOMO
$200k–$350k
Sell
$350k–$600k
Max bubble
>$600k

The rainbow chart uses a logarithmic regression of Bitcoin's historical price. Bands shift over time. This is a long-term sentiment tool, not a trading signal.

About this tool

This chart plots Bitcoin's long-term price against colored bands meant to frame historical periods of relative over- and undervaluation. It helps long-horizon observers put the current price in the context of Bitcoin's multi-year trend rather than short-term swings.

Price is drawn on a logarithmic scale and overlaid with colored zones fitted to Bitcoin's long-term growth curve, so warmer bands mark historically expensive phases and cooler bands mark cheaper ones. The bands are a descriptive, backward-looking model, not a forecast, and where price sits in a band is a talking point rather than a signal.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bitcoin rainbow chart?

It is a long-term chart that overlays colored bands on Bitcoin's price on a logarithmic scale, labeling zones from historically cheap to historically expensive. It is meant as a big-picture sentiment illustration, not a precise valuation tool.

Why is the rainbow chart drawn on a logarithmic scale?

A logarithmic scale shows percentage changes consistently, so Bitcoin's early moves and later moves are comparable on the same chart. This makes long-term trends readable despite enormous changes in absolute price over the years.

Is the rainbow chart a reliable price predictor?

No, the bands are fitted to past data and simply describe where price has sat historically, so they are not a forecast. They can be useful for framing sentiment over long horizons but should not be used as a trading signal on their own.